"...To read some blogs today, you'd think that this was the 9th century, with camel-riding Jihadis ready to descend on helpless American towns, swinging unstoppable scimitars. It's not that way; it's more like the Ghost Dance or similar movements borne of frustration at losing, movements that do their damage all right, but that are doomed to fail. I don't mean to understate the threat, which is real enough. But it's not on the order of the Cold War, you know, and we won that one."
Ghost Dance?? I don't even think Sioux Falls was threatened by Ghost Dancers. I seem to remember Sitting Bull his-own-self observing about white Europeans "There is no end to them", meaning he and the Ghost Dancers were severely outnumbered. I think we can observe that there is no end to the Islamists right now and for the next several generations. And what's more, the Ghost Dancers already knew they had lost. I don't think the Islamic movement has been informed of that yet, and they have no particular reason to believe it.
"Fundamentalist" Islam is ascendant politically and populationally in Malaysia, Indonesia, Pakistan (which has nukes and a greater population than Iraq, Iran, and Afghanistan combined), other Trashcanistans, and parts of Africa. Even if Iran undergoes a Pistachio Revolution (it won't and if it does it will be a bloody mess), Pakistan is just a well-placed car-bomb or two from its own Islamist government.
To much of the third world Islam is the great equalizer in the undeclared war with Western dominance. As they have in the past, parts of Central and South America will tacitly side with our enemy. China will assist Islamist countries in order to keep us too busy to respond to their Taiwan grab, (2009).
Scimitars? Putting aside nukes, across the entire third world there are young men who can do things with batteries, cell phones, diesel fuel, ammonium nitrate, etc, of which the post-gearhead western culture is almost completely ignorant.
Of course we’re not helpless but we will lose mightily until we decide to win.
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